Match Analysis

Al QadsiahvsAl Khaleej

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
18%
17%
Al Qadsiah winDrawAl Khaleej win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
2.37Avg goals scored1.18
1.14Avg goals conceded1.68
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Al Qadsiah xG

Expected goals

1.2

Al Khaleej xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

6%

Home

Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Khaleej

Al Khaleej

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej?

Al Qadsiah is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Qadsiah's current form?

Al Qadsiah have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Qadsiah Win65%
Draw18%
Al Khaleej Win17%
BTTS64%
Over 2.570%