Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Ettifaq

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
24%
41%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Ettifaq win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.07Avg goals scored1.53
1.56Avg goals conceded1.39
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

1.5

Al Ettifaq xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Ettifaq

Al Ettifaq

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Ettifaq is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win35%
Draw24%
Al Ettifaq Win41%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%