Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Hilal

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
20%
60%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Hilal win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
1.07Avg goals scored2.81
1.56Avg goals conceded0.99
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

2.2

Al Hilal xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Hilal

Al Hilal

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

Al Hilal is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win20%
Draw20%
Al Hilal Win60%
BTTS62%
Over 2.566%