Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Qadsiah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
22%
54%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Qadsiah win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.07Avg goals scored2.37
1.56Avg goals conceded1.14
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

2

Al Qadsiah xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah?

Al Qadsiah is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win24%
Draw22%
Al Qadsiah Win54%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%