Match Analysis

Neom SCvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
23%
43%
Neom SC winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.30Avg goals scored2.98
0.79Avg goals conceded1.29
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Neom SC xG

Expected goals

1.7

Al Ahli xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Neom SC

Neom SC

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Neom SC vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Neom SC's current form?

Neom SC have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Neom SC Win34%
Draw23%
Al Ahli Win43%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%