Match Analysis

AC MilanvsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
19%
22%
AC Milan winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
2.04Avg goals scored2.07
0.89Avg goals conceded2.19
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.4

Atalanta xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Atalanta?

AC Milan is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win59%
Draw19%
Atalanta Win22%
BTTS69%
Over 2.573%