Match Analysis

AC MilanvsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
25%
32%
AC Milan winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
2.04Avg goals scored1.74
0.88Avg goals conceded0.75
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.3

Como xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Como

Como

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Como?

AC Milan is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win43%
Draw25%
Como Win32%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%