Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
2.1
Lecce xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
13%
0–3
9%
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–3
7%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Lecce
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ac Milan vs Lecce?
Lecce is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ac Milan's current form?
Ac Milan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Ac Milan won 5, drew 1, and Lecce won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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