Match Analysis

AS RomavsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

70%
17%
13%
AS Roma winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
2.50Avg goals scored0.87
1.10Avg goals conceded1.92
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

1.1

Cagliari xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

3–0

7%

1–0

6%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Cagliari?

AS Roma is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win70%
Draw17%
Cagliari Win13%
BTTS62%
Over 2.571%