Match Analysis

AS RomavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
19%
18%
AS Roma winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
2.50Avg goals scored0.83
1.10Avg goals conceded1.42
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

1.1

Genoa xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

2–0

9%

1–0

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Genoa?

AS Roma is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win63%
Draw19%
Genoa Win18%
BTTS59%
Over 2.564%