Match Analysis

AS RomavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
18%
20%
AS Roma winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
2.50Avg goals scored2.05
1.10Avg goals conceded2.11
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

1.5

Monza xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Monza

Monza

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Monza?

AS Roma is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win62%
Draw18%
Monza Win20%
BTTS72%
Over 2.579%