Match Analysis

AS RomavsSassuolo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

74%
14%
12%
AS Roma winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.40
2.50Avg goals scored1.46
1.10Avg goals conceded2.79
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sassuolo xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

2–0

6%

3–0

6%

4–1

6%

1–1

5%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

AS Roma is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win74%
Draw14%
Sassuolo Win12%
BTTS70%
Over 2.583%