Match Analysis

AtalantavsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
22%
34%
Atalanta winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
2.07Avg goals scored1.20
2.19Avg goals conceded1.25
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.6

Bologna xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

3–1

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Bologna?

Atalanta is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win44%
Draw22%
Bologna Win34%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%