Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
0.9
Cagliari xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
18%
1–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–2
8%
1–2
6%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Cagliari
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.4
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Cagliari is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Atalanta won 3, drew 1, and Cagliari won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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