Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
2.6
Frosinone xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
1–3
5%
2–1
5%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.1 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Frosinone
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.8 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Frosinone is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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