Match Analysis

AtalantavsInternazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
19%
53%
Atalanta winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
2.07Avg goals scored2.80
2.18Avg goals conceded1.17
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

2.5

Internazionale xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

2–1

5%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Internazionale?

Internazionale is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win28%
Draw19%
Internazionale Win53%
BTTS77%
Over 2.580%