Match Analysis

AtalantavsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
19%
21%
Atalanta winDrawParma win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
2.07Avg goals scored0.62
2.19Avg goals conceded2.07
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.3

Parma xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Parma

Parma

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Parma?

Atalanta is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win60%
Draw19%
Parma Win21%
BTTS66%
Over 2.571%