Match Analysis

AtalantavsVenezia

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
20%
21%
Atalanta winDrawVenezia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
2.06Avg goals scored0.59
2.16Avg goals conceded1.91
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.3

Venezia xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Venezia

Venezia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Venezia?

Atalanta is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win59%
Draw20%
Venezia Win21%
BTTS65%
Over 2.570%