Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
1
Venezia xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Venezia
PPG
2.00
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Atalanta won 1, drew 1, and Venezia won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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