Match Analysis

BolognavsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
22%
45%
Bologna winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.69Avg goals scored2.51
1.38Avg goals conceded1.11
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Bologna xG

Expected goals

1.9

AS Roma xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–3

6%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bologna Win33%
Draw22%
AS Roma Win45%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%