Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Cagliari xG
Expected goals
2
AC Milan xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
9%
1–3
7%
0–3
6%
Home
Cagliari
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cagliari vs AC Milan?
AC Milan is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cagliari's current form?
Cagliari have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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