Match Analysis

CagliarivsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
23%
48%
Cagliari winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.87Avg goals scored1.69
1.92Avg goals conceded1.38
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

1.8

Bologna xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Bologna?

Bologna is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cagliari Win29%
Draw23%
Bologna Win48%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%