Match Analysis

Cagliari vs Internazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
26%
50%
Cagliari winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.20
1.05Avg goals scored3.25
0.44Avg goals conceded1.06
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

1.2

Internazionale xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

13%

11

13%

00

11%

10

11%

02

8%

12

8%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

WDDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.3 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Cagliariall timeInternazionale
1D
5W
17 Apr 26
Internazionale30Cagliari
27 Sep 25
Cagliari02Internazionale
12 Apr 25
Internazionale31Cagliari
28 Dec 24
Cagliari03Internazionale
14 Apr 24
Internazionale22Cagliari
28 Aug 23
Cagliari02Internazionale

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Internazionale?

Internazionale is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Cagliari won 0, drew 1, and Internazionale won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Cagliari Win24%
Draw26%
Internazionale Win50%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

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