Match Analysis

CagliarivsJuventus

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
26%
44%
Cagliari winDrawJuventus win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
0.63Avg goals scored1.32
1.48Avg goals conceded1.10
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

1.4

Juventus xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–2

8%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Juventus

Juventus

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Juventus?

Juventus is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cagliari Win30%
Draw26%
Juventus Win44%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%