Match Analysis

ComovsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
22%
18%
Como winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.74Avg goals scored0.63
0.75Avg goals conceded1.48
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Como xG

Expected goals

0.9

Cagliari xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Como

Como

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Como vs Cagliari?

Como is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Como's current form?

Como have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Como Win60%
Draw22%
Cagliari Win18%
BTTS50%
Over 2.551%