Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Como xG
Expected goals
0.3
Parma xG
20%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
26%
0–0
18%
2–0
18%
1–1
8%
3–0
8%
0–1
5%
Home
Como
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Parma
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Como vs Parma?
Como is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Como's current form?
Como have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Como won 2, drew 2, and Parma won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (26% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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