Match Analysis

FiorentinavsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
23%
33%
Fiorentina winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.14Avg goals scored0.87
2.29Avg goals conceded1.92
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

1.5

Cagliari xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Cagliari?

Fiorentina is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win44%
Draw23%
Cagliari Win33%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%