Match Analysis

Fiorentina vs Como

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
6%
80%
Fiorentina winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
0.34Avg goals scored1.30
2.81Avg goals conceded0.70
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

3

Como xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

17%

03

17%

04

12%

01

11%

05

7%

12

5%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.3 / 2.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Como

Como

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Fiorentinaall timeComo
2W
2W
14 Feb 26
Como12Fiorentina
21 Sep 25
Fiorentina12Como
16 Feb 25
Fiorentina02Como
24 Nov 24
Como02Fiorentina

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Como?

Como is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Fiorentina won 2, drew 0, and Como won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Fiorentina Win14%
Draw6%
Como Win80%
BTTS25%
Over 2.564%

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