Match Analysis

FrosinonevsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
20%
26%
Frosinone winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
2.37Avg goals scored1.14
2.01Avg goals conceded1.69
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Frosinone xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lecce xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Lecce?

Frosinone is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Frosinone's current form?

Frosinone have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Frosinone Win54%
Draw20%
Lecce Win26%
BTTS70%
Over 2.573%