Match Analysis

FrosinonevsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
18%
18%
Frosinone winDrawParma win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
2.37Avg goals scored0.62
2.01Avg goals conceded2.07
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Frosinone xG

Expected goals

1.3

Parma xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–0

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Parma

Parma

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Parma?

Frosinone is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Frosinone's current form?

Frosinone have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Frosinone Win64%
Draw18%
Parma Win18%
BTTS67%
Over 2.573%