Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Frosinone xG
Expected goals
0.5
Sassuolo xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
16%
1–0
15%
3–0
12%
2–1
8%
0–0
7%
1–1
7%
Home
Frosinone
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Frosinone is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Frosinone's current form?
Frosinone have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Frosinone won 1, drew 0, and Sassuolo won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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