Match Analysis

Genoa vs Como

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
30%
65%
Genoa winDrawComo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
0.11Avg goals scored1.30
1.50Avg goals conceded0.70
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.6

Como xG

21%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

24%

02

19%

00

15%

03

10%

11

7%

12

6%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

LWLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.1 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Como

Como

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Genoaall timeComo
2D
2W
26 Apr 26
Genoa02Como
15 Sep 25
Como11Genoa
27 Apr 25
Como10Genoa
7 Nov 24
Genoa11Como

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Como?

Como is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 2, and Como won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Genoa Win5%
Draw30%
Como Win65%
BTTS21%
Over 2.530%

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