Match Analysis

GenoavsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
24%
29%
Genoa winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
0.83Avg goals scored1.14
1.42Avg goals conceded2.29
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.3

Fiorentina xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win47%
Draw24%
Fiorentina Win29%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%