Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Genoa xG
Expected goals
1.3
Fiorentina xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Genoa
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Fiorentina
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Genoa is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Genoa's current form?
Genoa have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Serie A