Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Genoa xG
Expected goals
0.4
Fiorentina xG
9%
Both Teams to Score
3%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
50%
0–1
20%
1–0
15%
1–1
6%
0–2
4%
2–0
2%
Home
Genoa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.1 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Fiorentina
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.3 / 2.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina is favored with a 32% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Genoa's current form?
Genoa have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 3, and Fiorentina won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (50% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 9%. Over 2.5 goals: 3%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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