Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Genoa xG
Expected goals
1.9
Frosinone xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
21%
0–2
20%
0–3
13%
0–0
11%
0–4
6%
1–1
6%
Home
Genoa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.1 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Frosinone
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Genoa vs Frosinone?
Frosinone is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Genoa's current form?
Genoa have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 1, and Frosinone won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A