Match Analysis

InternazionalevsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

74%
15%
11%
Internazionale winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
2.66Avg goals scored1.14
0.96Avg goals conceded2.30
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

1.1

Fiorentina xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

3–0

7%

1–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

Internazionale is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win74%
Draw15%
Fiorentina Win11%
BTTS63%
Over 2.576%