Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Juventus xG
Expected goals
0.8
AC Milan xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
1–1
12%
0–0
11%
2–0
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
Home
Juventus
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Juventus vs Ac Milan?
Juventus is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Juventus's current form?
Juventus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Juventus won 2, drew 4, and Ac Milan won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A