Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Juventus xG
Expected goals
0.3
Parma xG
17%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
27%
0–0
25%
2–0
15%
1–1
8%
0–1
7%
3–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $613K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Juventus
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Parma
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Juventus vs Parma?
Juventus is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Juventus's current form?
Juventus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Juventus won 2, drew 1, and Parma won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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