Match Analysis

Lazio vs Ac Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
25%
33%
Lazio winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.00Avg goals scored1.70
0.73Avg goals conceded1.41
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1

AC Milan xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

13%

00

10%

01

10%

20

8%

21

8%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

WLWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Lazioall timeAc Milan
2W
1D
3W
15 Mar 26
Lazio10AC Milan
29 Nov 25
AC Milan10Lazio
2 Mar 25
AC Milan12Lazio
31 Aug 24
Lazio22AC Milan
1 Mar 24
Lazio01AC Milan
30 Sep 23
AC Milan20Lazio

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Ac Milan?

Lazio is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 2, drew 1, and Ac Milan won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lazio Win42%
Draw25%
AC Milan Win33%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%

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