Match Analysis

LaziovsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
24%
30%
Lazio winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.60
2.19Avg goals scored2.19
0.65Avg goals conceded0.92
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1.4

AS Roma xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs AS Roma?

Lazio is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win46%
Draw24%
AS Roma Win30%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%