Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Lazio xG
Expected goals
1.4
Atalanta xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
6%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
3–0
6%
Home
Lazio
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Atalanta
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.1 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs Atalanta?
Lazio is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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