Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Lazio xG
Expected goals
1
Cagliari xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–0
6%
1–1
6%
Home
Lazio
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Cagliari
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs Cagliari?
Lazio is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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