Match Analysis

Lazio vs Genoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

71%
20%
9%
Lazio winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.80
1.01Avg goals scored0.11
0.73Avg goals conceded1.50
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.3

Genoa xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

26%

00

18%

20

18%

11

8%

30

8%

01

5%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

WLWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

LWLLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.1 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Lazioall timeGenoa
5W
1W
30 Jan 26
Lazio32Genoa
29 Sep 25
Genoa03Lazio
23 Apr 25
Genoa02Lazio
27 Oct 24
Lazio30Genoa
19 Apr 24
Genoa01Lazio
27 Aug 23
Lazio01Genoa

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Genoa?

Lazio is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 5, drew 0, and Genoa won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (26% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lazio Win71%
Draw20%
Genoa Win9%
BTTS20%
Over 2.524%

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