Match Analysis

LaziovsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
18%
20%
Lazio winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
2.19Avg goals scored2.05
0.65Avg goals conceded2.11
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1.3

Monza xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–0

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Monza

Monza

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Monza?

Lazio is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win62%
Draw18%
Monza Win20%
BTTS67%
Over 2.573%