Match Analysis

LaziovsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
15%
10%
Lazio winDrawParma win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.85Avg goals scored0.51
0.89Avg goals conceded1.70
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.8

Parma xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

10%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Parma

Parma

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Parma?

Lazio is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win75%
Draw15%
Parma Win10%
BTTS51%
Over 2.566%