Match Analysis

Lecce vs As Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
29%
63%
Lecce winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game3.00
1.79Avg goals scored3.43
0.41Avg goals conceded0.20
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.1

AS Roma xG

17%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

27%

00

25%

02

15%

11

8%

10

7%

03

5%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

3.4 / 0.2

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Lecceall timeAs Roma
1D
5W
22 Mar 26
AS Roma10Lecce
6 Jan 26
Lecce02AS Roma
29 Mar 25
Lecce01AS Roma
7 Dec 24
AS Roma41Lecce
1 Apr 24
Lecce00AS Roma
5 Nov 23
AS Roma21Lecce

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs As Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 1, and As Roma won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lecce Win8%
Draw29%
AS Roma Win63%
BTTS17%
Over 2.517%

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