Match Analysis

LeccevsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
22%
38%
Lecce winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.15Avg goals scored2.07
1.68Avg goals conceded2.19
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.9

Atalanta xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Atalanta?

Lecce is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win40%
Draw22%
Atalanta Win38%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%