Match Analysis

Lecce vs Bologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
26%
17%
Lecce winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.79Avg goals scored0.78
0.41Avg goals conceded1.15
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lecce xG

Expected goals

0.3

Bologna xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

21%

20

20%

30

13%

00

11%

11

6%

21

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

LDWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Lecceall timeBologna
3D
3W
12 Apr 26
Bologna20Lecce
28 Sep 25
Lecce22Bologna
9 Feb 25
Lecce00Bologna
2 Nov 24
Bologna10Lecce
11 Feb 24
Bologna40Lecce
3 Dec 23
Lecce11Bologna

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Bologna?

Lecce is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 3, and Bologna won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lecce Win57%
Draw26%
Bologna Win17%
BTTS22%
Over 2.538%

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