Match Analysis

LeccevsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
25%
38%
Lecce winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.14Avg goals scored1.20
1.68Avg goals conceded1.25
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bologna xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Bologna?

Bologna is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win37%
Draw25%
Bologna Win38%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%