Match Analysis

MonzavsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
20%
24%
Monza winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
2.05Avg goals scored0.88
2.11Avg goals conceded1.92
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Monza xG

Expected goals

1.4

Cagliari xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Monza

Monza

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Cagliari?

Monza is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win56%
Draw20%
Cagliari Win24%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%