Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Monza xG
Expected goals
3.5
Cagliari xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
14%
0–4
13%
0–2
12%
0–5
9%
0–1
7%
1–3
6%
Home
Monza
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 4.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Cagliari
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.4
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Monza vs Cagliari?
Cagliari is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Monza's current form?
Monza have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Monza won 1, drew 1, and Cagliari won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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