Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Monza xG
Expected goals
3.6
Sassuolo xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
90%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–4
6%
2–3
6%
1–2
5%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Monza
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 4.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Monza vs Sassuolo?
Sassuolo is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Monza's current form?
Monza have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Monza won 2, drew 0, and Sassuolo won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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