Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1.9
AS Roma xG
68%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
1–3
6%
Home
Napoli
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs AS Roma?
AS Roma is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Serie A