Match Analysis

NapolivsTorino

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Napoli winDrawTorino win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.71Avg goals scored1.91
1.33Avg goals conceded1.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.6

Torino xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Torino

Torino

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win41%
Draw23%
Torino Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%